Mainframe

The news seems to be bad for Mainframes as an industry.

People are searching for the term progressively less over the years:

google-trends-for-mainframe
www.google.com/trends/

IBM is close to underperforming the S&P 500 for the first time in a decade:
ibm-sp-trends
www.google.com/finance

However, there are early signs that the continued rise of the mobile economy may help save mainframes.  After largely flat movement from 2006 to 2012, there was a sharp uptick in patents that (in the abstract) discussed “mainframe” and “computer”. “Server” and “Mobile” also jumped:
mainframe-computer-server-mobile

Looking at patents for “mobile”, we see a similar uptick in patents for “mobile device”:
mobile-devices-trends

In fact, there is a strong correlation between the movement of patent counts around “Mainframe” and “Mobile Device”, suggesting that mainframes may be finding a place in the mobile economy:
mobile-economy

Note: The data on granted patents is necessarily lagged by a few years, unfortunately. Here’s the explanation, in the form of the USPTO’s measurements of “Pendancy”, or time in “pending” status, which has consistently been more than a year.

The rise of mobile may have plateaued, but there are entirely new, data-intensive applications out there (IoT, VR) that may leverage the power of mainframes even more strongly

Mobile:
mobile-trends
www.google.com/trends

VR, IoT and Big Data:
vr-iot-big-datawww.google.com/trends

And we can even see what our politicians think about these things. For example, here’s the usage of Big Data over time, as mentioned by some of the folks in Washington:

big-data-over-time
capitolwords.org/term/big_data/

Matt Ritter

Regular Planet Mainframe Blog Contributor
Matt Ritter writes about business intelligence, data science, and whatever else he can get numbers about at Preinvented Wheel.
Matt Ritter
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  1. Pingback: A Look Back at 2015 - Planet Mainframe

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